Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 172.431325 200.318596 232.606989 273.070376 322.866236 382.725835 4.610160e+02
2025-07-13 141.928311 178.709426 226.012578 292.598921 386.068747 516.044347 7.169248e+02
2025-07-20 126.146431 167.846990 225.565417 313.997458 451.243839 665.784076 1.048287e+03
2025-07-27 111.056617 153.864807 216.445238 318.765987 490.752852 786.955665 1.385295e+03
2025-08-03 100.880258 144.667934 211.773775 327.991666 538.069777 934.584760 1.841338e+03
2025-08-10 91.345819 134.724920 203.838230 329.466686 571.263296 1066.520390 2.338469e+03
2025-08-17 84.360019 127.653649 199.146504 335.144698 613.188895 1230.816796 3.020505e+03
2025-08-24 77.216013 119.322480 190.942014 332.481518 637.233062 1364.462016 3.720368e+03
2025-08-31 71.574795 112.789298 184.864314 332.576850 667.020642 1524.246251 4.643956e+03
2025-09-07 67.117806 107.754804 180.737488 335.696509 704.491934 1721.236876 5.911309e+03
2025-09-14 60.959901 99.068771 168.720806 320.132952 692.854172 1773.620841 6.645737e+03
2025-09-21 57.333300 94.592423 164.193354 320.046037 720.588804 1961.125455 8.279331e+03
2025-09-28 53.418176 89.632584 158.962014 319.535540 753.339496 2206.564671 1.083388e+04
2025-10-05 52.126724 89.514883 163.562255 343.396152 865.417903 2831.499886 1.777336e+04
2025-10-12 51.034438 89.618135 168.598785 369.651011 997.584496 3677.296643 3.094310e+04
2025-10-19 48.409521 86.368610 165.930506 375.515596 1066.818782 4317.977661 4.685119e+04
2025-10-26 46.428434 84.198713 165.329603 386.875781 1161.729828 5223.154464 7.776085e+04
2025-11-02 44.009551 80.864996 161.612791 388.693759 1222.697272 6024.896427 1.220068e+05
2025-11-09 42.128063 78.475060 159.781619 395.696270 1309.292813 7156.590145 2.144629e+05
2025-11-16 39.838666 74.990548 154.888640 392.411008 1351.562108 8045.965198 3.476081e+05
2025-11-23 37.934652 72.176869 151.298310 392.528582 1410.770755 9224.443116 6.307740e+05
2025-11-30 36.374068 69.983985 148.990506 396.377163 1491.469101 10831.669166 1.359884e+06
2025-12-07 33.862397 65.458116 140.270871 377.197673 1447.707116 11016.347978 1.888853e+06